It is worth noting that this season, any two of the top five leagues in Europe will receive an extra place for the Champions League. The fifth-placed Premier League club also had the opportunity to play in the Champions League. But United almost missed out on that opportunity due to their continuous failures on the European stage.
Sky Sports reported that the club in fifth place in the Premier League has a 1.1 percent chance of playing in the Champions League next season.
This time, no Premier League club could reach the semi-finals of the Champions League and Europa League. Arsenal and Manchester City were knocked out of the Champions League quarter-finals. West Ham and Liverpool were also eliminated from the last eight of the Europa League. Aston Villa is the only Premier League team to confirm a place in the Europa Conference League semi-finals. This leaves England (17.375) behind Italy (19.428) and Germany (17.928) in the UEFA points table.
With a big lead, an additional team from Italy has already been confirmed to play in the Champions League. The fight is now mainly between England and Germany. Where Germany is ahead so far. To secure the Champions League from England, Aston Villa will have to win all three of their possible matches in Europe (two semi-finals and the final). At the same time, we are looking at the defeat of all the German clubs in all their matches.
Two German clubs, Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, are in the semi-finals of the Champions League. Bayer Leverkusen, who has been undefeated throughout the season, is in the Europa League. In this situation, if the German clubs win two games or draw two and win one game, Germany will be guaranteed to be in second place in the points table.
This equation suggests that England are unlikely to surpass Germany and move up to second place. As a result, Manchester United's chances of playing in the Champions League next season are almost over. Because even if they have a chance to move up to fifth in the league table with the remaining matches, Erik ten Hag's team has no chance of staying in fourth.